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Red73
808912.2
876419.2
909826.6
Blue21
86514.7
40156.6
91278.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633002040801007321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.61.4
25.426.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 11.9
865
#23
14.70.9
15.514.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Second
8764
#10
19.21.4
16.618.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 10.4
9127
#24
8.80.9
8.77.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
8089
#16
12.21.4
10.712.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 5.6
4015
#28
6.60.9
7.16.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed