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Red39
502426.7
49409.8
958010.1
Blue47
651415.0
130516.6
872917.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151354045556065703947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.6
25.224.6
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 9.3
8729
#22
17.40.1
17.217.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Second
9580
#11
10.10.6
10.29.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 6.5
16.60.1
15.115.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
4940
#26
9.80.6
10.810.1
Auto1.0
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 5.2
6514
#20
15.00.1
13.613.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed