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Red48
447620.6
69755.3
720015.7
Blue30
91278.8
495111.5
68545.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512204060804830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#13
20.60.5
21.021.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 9.1
4951
#18
11.50.0
11.211.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Second
7200
#19
15.70.5
15.315.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0
red by 6.9
9127
#24
8.80.0
7.87.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
6975
#32
5.30.5
6.06.5
Auto4.0
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Level
6854
#33
5.30.0
4.24.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed