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Red51
447620.6
68545.3
74768.5
Blue80
958010.1
111417.4
403936.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33730204060801001205180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#13
20.60.2
21.521.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 15.6
36.20.1
34.834.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
Second
7476
#29
8.50.2
8.78.5
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
blue by 8.9
17.40.1
17.017.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Third
6854
#33
5.30.2
4.24.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 4.8
9580
#11
10.10.1
9.69.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned