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Red48
86514.7
61028.0
495111.5
Blue55
434318.1
49409.8
130516.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64462040801001204855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
28.00.9
28.727.8
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End1.4
red by 9.9
4343
#14
18.10.1
17.717.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
865
#23
14.70.9
15.514.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 1.9
16.60.1
15.916.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
4951
#18
11.50.9
11.210.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
red by 1.7
4940
#26
9.80.1
9.79.8
Auto1.0
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned