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Red59
91278.8
130516.6
502426.7
Blue58
906215.9
876419.2
720015.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56565060655958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
26.126.3
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 7.5
8764
#10
19.20.2
19.119.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Second
16.60.2
16.016.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
red by 0.7
9062
#21
15.90.2
15.815.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Third
9127
#24
8.80.2
8.28.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 6.9
7200
#19
15.70.2
15.615.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End2.0