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Red20
68658.2
611011.1
95927.2
Blue77
130524.3
86526.1
354314.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060801002077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#14
11.10.7
7.36.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 15.0
865
#1
26.12.2
17.319.6
Auto11.6
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Second
6865
#17
8.21.1
12.211.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
blue by 16.1
24.32.2
17.319.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
9592
#28
7.20.7
10.810.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 7.1
3543
#25
14.32.2
9.211.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed