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Red51
747612.6
270628.1
873112.0
Blue94
415230.1
540922.0
685915.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565204060801005194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.5
24.024.5
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 2.0
30.11.5
24.526.0
Auto12.3
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
7476
#16
12.60.5
10.210.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 9.4
22.02.5
17.820.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
Third
8731
#31
12.00.5
9.29.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
blue by 3.3
6859
#18
15.31.5
13.815.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned