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Red46
270811.2
95927.2
293525.6
Blue38
611011.1
131016.8
354314.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060804638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.3
21.521.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 8.9
1310
#13
16.80.6
10.611.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Second
11.20.3
9.810.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.3
blue by 3.0
3543
#25
14.30.6
11.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
Third
9592
#28
7.20.3
10.110.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 4.0
6110
#14
11.10.6
6.67.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed