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Red45
775712.4
130524.3
68658.2
Blue38
651416.5
567210.1
434324.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060801004538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
19.519.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
blue by 0.4
24.71.4
18.417.0
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
7757
#21
12.40.3
7.88.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 4.1
6514
#19
16.51.4
15.213.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Third
6865
#17
8.20.5
11.011.5
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
blue by 1.8
5672
#30
10.12.4
10.88.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed