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Red27
133413.3
354314.3
651416.5
Blue86
78121.2
540922.0
403937.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328602040601001201402786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6514
#19
16.50.6
15.014.4
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 21.4
37.90.3
36.236.5
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
Second
3543
#25
14.30.6
9.79.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
blue by 7.7
22.00.5
17.618.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
Third
1334
#26
13.30.9
10.89.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 8.0
781
#10
21.20.3
17.417.8
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned