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Red64
748020.2
588517.7
406916.8
Blue25
95927.2
68648.6
201316.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533820306070806425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#12
20.21.1
16.517.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 3.9
2013
#11
16.30.8
16.015.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Second
5885
#15
17.71.8
11.813.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
red by 9.1
6864
#24
8.60.8
8.67.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Third
4069
#20
16.81.1
17.818.9
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 9.7
9592
#28
7.20.8
11.811.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed