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Red38
567210.1
747612.6
406916.8
Blue41
872920.1
434324.7
873112.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404702060801003841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#20
16.80.1
18.118.1
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 7.9
24.70.0
17.016.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
7476
#16
12.60.1
10.710.8
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 7.4
8729
#22
20.10.0
14.714.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
5672
#30
10.10.1
8.48.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 2.0
8731
#31
12.00.0
9.79.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed