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Red20
540922.0
95927.2
91276.2
Blue51
49929.5
651416.5
748020.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060801001201402051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.02.2
20.418.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 1.8
7480
#12
20.20.6
18.719.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
9592
#28
7.21.3
10.49.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 9.3
6514
#19
16.50.6
13.814.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Third
9127
#23
6.21.3
8.97.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 3.4
4992
#29
9.50.9
10.311.2
Auto5.2
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed