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Red42
95896.3
293525.6
68648.6
Blue89
133413.3
130524.3
403937.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308102040601001201404289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
21.821.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
blue by 12.2
37.91.5
37.839.2
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
Second
6864
#24
8.60.1
7.67.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 15.7
24.31.5
19.821.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Third
9589
#32
6.30.1
3.53.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 7.0
1334
#26
13.32.5
9.411.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned