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Red72
872920.1
201316.3
78121.2
Blue58
415230.1
131016.8
68658.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545450556065707258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#10
21.21.6
17.118.7
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 8.8
30.10.6
26.026.6
Auto12.3
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
8729
#22
20.11.6
14.716.3
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 3.3
1310
#13
16.80.6
11.211.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Third
2013
#11
16.31.6
16.718.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 8.1
6865
#17
8.21.0
11.512.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned