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Red61
293525.6
567210.1
540922.0
Blue47
748020.2
95927.2
775712.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020806147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.8
21.922.7
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 5.5
7480
#12
20.20.4
19.219.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
22.01.4
18.219.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 9.6
7757
#21
12.40.4
8.28.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
5672
#30
10.11.4
8.59.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 2.9
9592
#28
7.20.4
9.19.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed