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Red55
68658.2
685915.3
270628.1
Blue82
403937.9
698712.0
131016.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5571204060801001205582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.2
24.925.2
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 9.8
37.91.3
39.741.0
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
Second
6859
#18
15.30.2
16.016.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 1.5
1310
#13
16.81.3
13.314.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Third
6865
#17
8.20.4
10.611.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
blue by 3.8
6987
#27
12.01.3
9.510.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed