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Red67
747612.6
611011.1
78121.2
Blue15
68648.6
133413.3
91276.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060806715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#10
21.21.9
19.020.8
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 8.0
1334
#26
13.31.5
12.210.8
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Second
7476
#16
12.61.9
11.012.8
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 4.0
6864
#24
8.60.9
8.37.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Third
6110
#14
11.11.9
9.111.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 4.9
9127
#23
6.20.9
7.86.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed