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Red45
131016.8
872920.1
95896.3
Blue52
95927.2
270628.1
651416.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325702040804552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#22
20.10.9
16.317.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 8.0
28.10.2
24.724.9
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
1310
#13
16.80.9
11.812.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
red by 0.3
6514
#19
16.50.2
14.514.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Third
9589
#32
6.30.9
3.94.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 0.8
9592
#28
7.20.2
9.59.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed