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Red61
873112.0
270811.2
748020.2
Blue29
49929.5
588517.7
68658.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45463035405055606129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#12
20.20.3
19.619.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
5885
#15
17.71.4
17.716.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
8731
#31
12.00.3
9.810.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
red by 2.5
4992
#29
9.51.4
11.29.8
Auto5.2
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
11.20.3
11.411.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.3
red by 3.0
6865
#17
8.21.4
12.611.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed