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Red56
651416.5
588517.7
775712.4
Blue23
68658.2
91276.2
567210.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46290204060805623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#15
17.71.7
16.318.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
red by 7.7
5672
#30
10.10.5
10.19.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Second
6514
#19
16.51.1
14.815.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
red by 8.3
6865
#17
8.20.6
11.210.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Third
7757
#21
12.41.1
8.69.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 6.2
9127
#23
6.20.3
6.96.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed