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Red74
588517.7
131016.8
130524.3
Blue58
775712.4
354314.3
86526.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001207458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.1
20.521.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
blue by 1.8
865
#1
26.10.1
23.924.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Second
5885
#15
17.71.5
18.019.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
red by 3.4
3543
#25
14.30.1
12.913.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
Third
1310
#13
16.81.1
14.615.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
red by 4.4
7757
#21
12.40.1
10.110.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned