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Red41
698712.0
49929.5
540922.0
Blue55
567210.1
415230.1
95927.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4849204060804155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.3
21.120.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
blue by 8.1
30.10.7
28.228.9
Auto12.3
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
6987
#27
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.3
red by 2.0
5672
#30
10.10.8
9.210.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
4992
#29
9.50.3
9.99.5
Auto5.2
Teleop2.8
End1.6
red by 2.4
9592
#28
7.20.7
6.47.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned