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Red48
651416.5
91276.2
293525.6
Blue39
873112.0
685915.3
133413.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801001204839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
25.225.3
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 10.4
6859
#18
15.30.0
17.017.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Second
6514
#19
16.50.1
15.515.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
red by 3.2
1334
#26
13.30.0
11.211.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
9127
#23
6.20.1
5.65.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 5.9
8731
#31
12.00.0
10.410.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed