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Red50
133413.3
567210.1
872920.1
Blue58
86526.1
68658.2
293525.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376902060801001205058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#22
20.10.8
18.219.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 6.1
865
#1
26.10.4
24.624.2
Auto11.6
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Second
1334
#26
13.31.1
11.212.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 12.4
25.60.4
25.324.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
Third
5672
#30
10.11.1
8.09.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 1.8
6865
#17
8.20.5
8.78.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed