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Red62
130524.3
873112.0
68648.6
Blue51
201316.3
651416.5
698712.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414802060806251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.3
21.522.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 7.8
6514
#19
16.50.5
15.616.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Second
8731
#31
12.01.3
9.610.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
blue by 4.3
2013
#11
16.30.5
15.516.0
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
6864
#24
8.61.3
6.88.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 3.4
6987
#27
12.00.5
11.712.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed