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Red54
91276.2
775712.4
270628.1
Blue38
95927.2
434324.7
133413.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060705438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.7
26.927.6
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 3.3
24.70.3
23.523.2
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
7757
#21
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 0.9
1334
#26
13.30.4
12.312.0
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
9127
#23
6.20.7
5.56.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 1.0
9592
#28
7.20.3
6.76.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed