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Red85
403937.9
91276.2
86526.1
Blue51
748020.2
567210.1
201316.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734102060801001208551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.5
36.538.0
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
red by 17.7
7480
#12
20.20.7
17.618.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
865
#1
26.11.5
15.817.3
Auto11.6
Teleop12.4
End2.2
red by 9.9
2013
#11
16.30.7
15.215.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
9127
#23
6.21.5
9.711.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 3.9
5672
#30
10.11.1
8.49.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed