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Red59
95927.2
78121.2
406916.8
Blue41
540922.0
68658.2
747612.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060705941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#10
21.20.2
17.817.5
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 0.7
22.00.2
18.118.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
Second
4069
#20
16.80.2
18.918.6
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 4.2
7476
#16
12.60.1
9.09.1
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
9592
#28
7.20.2
11.110.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 1.1
6865
#17
8.20.2
12.012.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned