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Red92
354314.3
434324.7
130524.3
Blue62
651416.5
78121.2
406916.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66582040801001201409262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
23.223.5
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End1.4
red by 3.5
781
#10
21.20.0
20.920.9
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
24.30.3
22.823.1
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
red by 7.5
4069
#20
16.80.0
16.416.5
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
3543
#25
14.30.3
12.713.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
blue by 2.2
6514
#19
16.50.0
16.116.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2