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Red49
611011.1
748020.2
747612.6
Blue28
588517.7
270811.2
685915.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475110203040607080904928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#12
20.20.1
19.820.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
5885
#15
17.70.4
18.117.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
7476
#16
12.60.1
12.312.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 2.7
6859
#18
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
6110
#14
11.10.1
10.810.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 0.1
11.20.4
11.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.3