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Red47
68665.8
124127.6
95893.3
Blue23
263414.0
136011.7
18810.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41371020305060704723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.0
21.222.2
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
red by 13.7
2634
#12
14.01.2
13.111.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Second
6866
#16
5.81.0
5.36.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 5.9
1360
#23
11.71.2
11.810.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
9589
#26
3.31.0
9.710.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 7.1
188
#15
10.30.7
9.38.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed