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Red13
56899.3
55969.1
260917.1
Blue62
87317.9
546028.0
60705.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050601362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.12.5
16.013.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
blue by 10.9
28.00.4
22.422.9
Auto12.3
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
5689
#25
9.32.5
9.77.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 1.4
8731
#17
7.90.7
9.510.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Third
5596
#11
9.12.5
9.57.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 3.1
6070
#27
5.90.7
8.59.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed