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Red29
78117.4
96219.1
790211.7
Blue38
956910.4
888416.3
201316.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334102060801001202938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#14
17.40.2
11.711.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 1.2
16.30.2
12.412.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Second
7902
#22
11.70.1
13.713.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
blue by 4.3
2013
#18
16.00.2
16.817.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
9621
#21
9.10.1
5.04.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 1.3
10.40.1
6.66.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed