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Red49
136011.7
540622.6
713614.9
Blue42
27089.2
61108.7
293521.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350102030406070804942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
20.019.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 0.8
21.71.0
13.114.1
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
Second
7136
#20
14.90.2
11.811.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
red by 5.7
2708
#24
9.21.0
7.98.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Third
1360
#23
11.70.2
12.011.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 3.0
6110
#10
8.71.0
12.213.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed