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Red36
18810.3
771217.7
95893.3
Blue44
503610.9
128516.4
35439.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313810205060703644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.1
10.210.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
16.41.0
10.711.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Second
188
#15
10.30.1
9.19.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 0.6
5036
#13
10.90.6
9.09.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Third
9589
#26
3.30.2
9.59.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 6.4
3543
#19
9.71.0
13.514.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed