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Red44
78117.4
87317.9
124127.6
Blue12
956910.4
260917.1
68665.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4738102030607080904412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.3
21.021.2
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
red by 10.5
17.12.8
18.716.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Second
781
#14
17.40.3
11.411.7
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 7.0
10.41.7
8.36.6
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
8731
#17
7.90.3
9.29.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
red by 2.1
6866
#16
5.82.8
8.15.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed