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Red46
260917.1
61108.7
540622.6
Blue34
201316.0
35439.7
78117.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5449304060704634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.3
21.119.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 5.1
781
#14
17.41.2
13.612.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Second
17.11.3
15.213.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
red by 1.1
2013
#18
16.00.7
18.017.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Third
6110
#10
8.71.3
11.810.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 1.0
3543
#19
9.71.2
13.111.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed