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Red66
713614.9
956910.4
771217.7
Blue5
790211.7
95893.3
55969.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33370206080100120665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.6
11.312.9
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 6.0
7902
#22
11.71.8
12.811.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Second
7136
#20
14.92.7
11.113.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
red by 5.9
5596
#11
9.13.1
9.16.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Third
10.41.6
7.59.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 7.2
9589
#26
3.33.1
10.77.6
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed