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Red52
263414.0
78117.4
128516.4
Blue27
87317.9
790211.7
136011.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41362025304550555227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#14
17.41.2
12.413.6
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
red by 5.7
1360
#23
11.70.7
12.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
16.41.2
11.812.9
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
red by 4.7
7902
#22
11.70.4
11.010.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
2634
#12
14.01.2
12.213.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 6.0
8731
#17
7.90.7
9.68.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed