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Red82
503610.9
56899.3
124127.6
Blue43
96219.1
713614.9
201316.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554020801001208243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.63.0
27.630.6
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
red by 11.6
2013
#18
16.00.3
17.317.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
5036
#13
10.91.8
9.411.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 4.0
7136
#20
14.90.5
13.814.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Third
5689
#25
9.33.0
11.214.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 0.2
9621
#21
9.10.3
7.27.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed