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Red26
61108.7
87317.9
128516.4
Blue53
790211.7
260917.1
18810.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370501001502653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.6
12.912.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
blue by 0.7
17.10.5
14.715.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Second
6110
#10
8.70.6
9.99.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 3.0
7902
#22
11.70.3
10.610.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
8731
#17
7.90.6
8.98.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 2.4
188
#15
10.30.3
8.38.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed