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Red40
888416.3
95893.3
503610.9
Blue35
78117.4
136011.7
956910.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373820253035404550554035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.6
15.414.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 1.2
781
#14
17.40.1
13.613.7
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Second
5036
#13
10.90.4
11.110.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
blue by 0.8
1360
#23
11.70.1
11.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
9589
#26
3.30.6
7.16.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 7.2
10.40.0
8.88.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed