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Red55
771217.7
293521.7
96219.1
Blue42
56899.3
201316.0
263414.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455101001505542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.3
19.020.3
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
red by 5.8
2013
#18
16.00.2
17.617.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
17.70.8
15.015.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 3.8
2634
#12
14.00.3
13.313.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
9621
#21
9.10.8
7.58.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 0.2
5689
#25
9.30.3
14.213.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed