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Red15
56899.3
18810.3
956910.4
Blue50
540622.6
87317.9
888416.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294301020506070801550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.40.9
9.18.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 12.2
22.61.4
17.919.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
188
#15
10.30.9
9.68.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 5.9
16.31.4
11.613.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Third
5689
#25
9.31.4
9.17.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 1.4
8731
#17
7.91.4
7.89.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed