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Red89
35439.7
124127.6
260917.1
Blue34
68665.8
790211.7
201316.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504330406070808934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.8
18.221.0
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
red by 11.6
2013
#18
16.00.7
18.017.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Second
17.12.8
16.018.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
red by 5.4
7902
#22
11.70.5
13.112.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
3543
#19
9.72.8
10.012.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 3.8
6866
#16
5.80.9
9.08.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed