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Red15
68665.8
503610.9
136011.7
Blue37
956910.4
540622.6
60705.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942010205060701537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#23
11.71.3
12.010.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 10.9
22.60.1
21.821.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
5036
#13
10.90.9
10.89.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 0.5
10.40.0
8.88.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
6866
#16
5.81.3
5.33.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 0.1
6070
#27
5.90.1
5.75.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed