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Red49
293521.7
201316.0
87317.9
Blue23
35439.7
96219.1
95893.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552204060801004923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
20.320.4
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
red by 12.1
3543
#19
9.70.1
8.98.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
Second
2013
#18
16.00.1
17.417.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 6.9
9621
#21
9.10.0
8.38.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Third
8731
#17
7.90.1
8.38.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
red by 4.7
9589
#26
3.30.1
6.46.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed