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Red54
55969.1
263414.0
546028.0
Blue44
771217.7
888416.3
128516.4
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524701002003004005006005444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
24.925.3
Auto12.3
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 10.2
17.70.1
15.815.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
2634
#12
14.00.8
13.013.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 2.4
16.40.1
12.312.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
5596
#11
9.10.8
8.89.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 7.2
16.30.1
14.814.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed